In 2025, the Future Perfect team evaluated their annual predictions, achieving a success rate of .800. Out of their forecasts, 19 were deemed correct, while 4 were incorrect, and 2 remained undecided, reflecting their confidence levels based on attached probabilities.
Each year, the team makes predictions for the upcoming year, and then reviews them at year’s end to assess accuracy. Predictions classified as "correct calls" included those with a probability above 50 percent that came true, as well as those below 50 percent that did not. The upcoming forecasts for 2026 are set to be published on January 1.
While 2025 was marked by significant tariff discussions, most of the developments stemmed from actions taken by the Trump administration. The Supreme Court's deliberations on the legality of these tariffs further shaped the narrative, although initial speculation about incorporating tariffs into a Republican tax bill did not materialize, as unilateral actions were sufficient for President Trump.